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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -286 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Our trusted projections expect C.J. Stroud to throw 37.7 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Texans to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Houston Texans grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • With a subpar 61.2% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud has been among the least on-target QBs in the league.
  • This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed a paltry 68.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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