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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Completions
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-107/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • In this contest, C.J. Stroud is predicted by the predictive model to have the 8th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.7.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • C.J. Stroud rates as one of the least accurate quarterbacks in football this year with a 61.1% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 14th percentile.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in football against the Lions defense this year (66.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's unit has been fantastic this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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