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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • In averaging a colossal 37.0 pass attempts per game this year, C.J. Stroud ranks among the top QBs in football (78th percentile) in this respect.
  • This year, the weak Denver Broncos defense has given up a whopping 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-worst rate in football.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Texans to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • C.J. Stroud is positioned as one of the least accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with a 62.9% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

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