C.J. Stroud Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 23, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the projections to call 66.8 offensive plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
The Houston Texans have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Our trusted projections expect C.J. Stroud to accumulate 2.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 11th-fewest among all QBs.
C.J. Stroud has been a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this season (3.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (8.5%).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's DT corps has been excellent since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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