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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

Chuba Hubbard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Panthers have been the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.4% run rate.

The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Chuba Hubbard's rushing efficiency has gotten a boost this season, totaling 5.15 yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.44 figure last season.

Chuba Hubbard has done a better job at grinding out extra rushing yardage this season, totaling 3.70 yards-after-contact vs a 2.63 rate last season.

The Baltimore Ravens linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The Panthers are an enormous 13-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.6 plays per game.

Chuba Hubbard has been a less important option in his offense's run game this year (11.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (41.3%).

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