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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 15

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Chuba Hubbard Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+428/-962).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -936 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -962.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Panthers are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 46.5% red zone run rate.

The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in run blocking.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.78 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.9 plays per game.

Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-least TDs in football (0.54 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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