Chuba Hubbard Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Chuba Hubbard

NFL · Player Props

Chuba Hubbard

RB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing TD

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Chuba Hubbard Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+434/-985).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -954 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -985.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-most TDs in the NFL (1.22 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.
The Carolina Panthers have risked going for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.4 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers have faced a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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