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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Chuba Hubbard Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+434/-985).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -954 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -985.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-most TDs in the NFL (1.22 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.

The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

The Carolina Panthers have risked going for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.4 plays per game.

The Carolina Panthers have faced a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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