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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals

Chuba Hubbard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard approach.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

Chuba Hubbard has gone out for more passes this season (60.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (42.6%).

The model projects Chuba Hubbard to accrue 4.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Chuba Hubbard comes in as one of the leading pass-game running backs this year, averaging a fantastic 2.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

Chuba Hubbard's 83.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a significant decline in his receiving talent over last year's 89.0% figure.

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