Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Chuba Hubbard

NFL · Player Props

Chuba Hubbard

RB · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a massive 63.5 per game on average).
Chuba Hubbard's 42.4% Route Participation% this season shows a material boost in his pass game volume over last season's 24.7% figure.
The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to earn 3.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
With a stellar 89.1% Adjusted Catch% (93rd percentile) this year, Chuba Hubbard rates among the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 51.7% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
When talking about air yards, Chuba Hubbard ranks in just the 11th percentile among RBs this year, with just -3.0 per game.
The Carolina O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Chuba Hubbard's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, accumulating a mere 4.89 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.28 figure last year.

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