Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Chuba Hubbard

NFL · Player Props

Chuba Hubbard

RB · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offensive scheme to tilt 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 62.4 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
Chuba Hubbard has been used more as a potential target this season (42.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (24.7%).

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
When it comes to air yards, Chuba Hubbard ranks in the lowly 13th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.
In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
Chuba Hubbard's 4.9 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a remarkable decrease in his receiving talent over last season's 9.3 mark.
Chuba Hubbard's 7.93 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a meaningful drop-off in his effectiveness in space over last season's 9.9% mark.

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