Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Chuba Hubbard

NFL · Player Props

Chuba Hubbard

RB · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive strategy to tilt 6.6% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a monstrous 62.1 per game on average).
Chuba Hubbard's 40.6% Route% this season signifies a noteworthy growth in his passing game usage over last season's 24.7% figure.
This year, the porous Titans defense has yielded the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a whopping 6.92 yards.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
As it relates to air yards, Chuba Hubbard ranks in the lowly 11th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
Chuba Hubbard's 4.2 adjusted yards per target this year represents a substantial diminishment in his receiving skills over last year's 9.3 rate.

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