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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

Chuba Hubbard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Chuba Hubbard is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.9 carries.

Chuba Hubbard has been a more integral piece of his offense's ground game this season (65.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (52.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Panthers to run on 38.7% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Washington's unit has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.

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