Chuba Hubbard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Chuba Hubbard

NFL · Player Props

Chuba Hubbard

RB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Chuba Hubbard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.0 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
The Panthers have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.4 plays per game.
In this game, Chuba Hubbard is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.6 rush attempts.
While Chuba Hubbard has accounted for 40.0% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Carolina's running game in this week's game at 62.8%.
The Panthers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league last year at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

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