Chuba Hubbard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Chuba Hubbard

NFL · Player Props

Chuba Hubbard

RB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Chuba Hubbard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Panthers.
Our trusted projections expect Chuba Hubbard to notch 15.0 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
While Chuba Hubbard has been responsible for 43.8% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Carolina's ground game this week at 59.0%.
The Panthers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers offensive strategy to skew 6.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Panthers, who are giant -11.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run on 39.0% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Dallas's unit has been outstanding this year, ranking as the best in football.

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