Chuba Hubbard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Chuba Hubbard

NFL · Player Props

Chuba Hubbard

RB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Chuba Hubbard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Panthers this year (a monstrous 63.8 per game on average).
The model projects Chuba Hubbard to accrue 16.4 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
While Chuba Hubbard has accounted for 42.8% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Carolina's running game in this game at 59.6%.
When talking about run support (and the impact it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year.
The Bears defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive blueprint to skew 6.5% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3-point underdogs.
The model projects the Panthers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

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