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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+108/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Packers.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (38.0 per game) this year.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

Christian Watson's 8.1% Target Rate this year represents a meaningful regression in his passing game utilization over last year's 18.4% rate.

Christian Watson's 1.9 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates an impressive decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.2 figure.

More Christian Watson Player Props

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