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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 4th-most pass-heavy team in football (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Packers.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 133.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

This year, the deficient Arizona Cardinals pass defense has yielded a massive 73.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 3rd-biggest rate in the league.

The Arizona Cardinals linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Packers being a 5-point favorite this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (just 28.6 per game) this year.

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