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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Packers ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

Christian Watson's 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a material progression in his receiving skills over last season's 55.0% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Packers rank as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 55.7% pass rate.

The projections expect the Packers to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Christian Watson has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (55.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (77.9%).

This year, the tough San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded a feeble 59.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

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