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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Packers grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Christian Watson's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 55.0% to 62.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Christian Watson's 54.4% Route% this season illustrates a noteworthy regression in his air attack utilization over last season's 77.9% figure.

This year, the strong Bears defense has given up a measly 60.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's collection of safeties has been great this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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