My Account Log Out

reorder

Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Packers being a big -10-point underdog in this week's game.

The 49ers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Packers to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 56.3 plays per game.

While Christian Watson has been responsible for 17.5% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much less involved in Green Bay's passing offense in this week's game at 12.0%.

Christian Watson's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 65.3% to 55.6%.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's group of LBs has been terrific this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.

More Christian Watson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™