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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Completion% in football (68.9%) vs. WRs this year (68.9%).

The Minnesota Vikings defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.56 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.

The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.

The Minnesota Vikings cornerbacks project as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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