Christian Watson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Christian Watson

NFL · Player Props

Christian Watson

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in football (57.8%) to wide receivers this year (57.8%).
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has given their QB a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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