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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans

Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.0% pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 136.1 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.

The model projects Christian Watson to be a more important option in his team's pass attack in this week's game (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.5% in games he has played).

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Packers profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

Christian Watson's 70.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a significant gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 55.0% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3 points.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Christian Watson has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (40.0 per game) than he did last year (98.0 per game).

With a bad 2.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian Watson has been among the best wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL in space.

This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has surrendered a feeble 57.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the best rate in football.

More Christian Watson Player Props

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