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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 7th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Christian Watson's 60.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates an impressive improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year's 55.0% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a hefty 30.07 seconds per play, the Green Bay Packers offense has been the 4th-most sluggish paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

Christian Watson has notched far fewer air yards this year (68.0 per game) than he did last year (98.0 per game).

Christian Watson's 40.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 51.4.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 7th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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