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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

Christian Watson has notched a staggering 66.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.

The Packers O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.0 plays per game.

Christian Watson has been among the bottom wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.

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