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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 58.9% of their downs: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.

The Bears defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (39.3 per game) this year.

The Chicago Bears safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are anticipated by the projections to run just 63.0 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Packers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.9 plays per game.

This year, the strong Bears defense has surrendered the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a measly 7.8 yards.

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