Christian Watson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

My Account Log Out

reorder

Christian Watson

NFL · Player Props

Christian Watson

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Packers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
The predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers as the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
In this week's contest, Christian Watson is expected by the model to land in the 76th percentile among WRs with 6.7 targets.
Christian Watson has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (99.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).
Christian Watson's 49.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 41.6.

Favors Under

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by the predictive model to call only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 8th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Packers this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
Christian Watson's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 65.3% to 49.7%.
Christian Watson's 6.9 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a significant decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 9.3 rate.

More Christian Watson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow