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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.

After accruing 66.0 air yards per game last year, Christian Watson has made big progress this year, now averaging 95.0 per game.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point increase in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Christian Watson has been more heavily used in his offense's passing game.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Christian Watson's 2.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a noteable growth in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 0.0% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With regard to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.46 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now.

Christian Watson has compiled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).

Christian Watson's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 65.3% to 45.3%.

Christian Watson's 6.4 adjusted yards per target this year indicates an impressive decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 9.3 rate.

The Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.9%) versus wideouts this year (61.9%).

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