Christian Watson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Christian Watson

NFL · Player Props

Christian Watson

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 6, 2023 5:56 PM EST

Analysis

Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Christian Watson to total 6.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
Christian Watson has put up a whopping 66.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wideouts.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 9.94 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.65 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
Christian Watson has been among the weakest WRs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 1st percentile.

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