Christian Watson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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NFL · Player Props

Christian Watson

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has surrendered the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.9%) versus wide receivers this year (70.9%).
The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed bad efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, conceding 9.95 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.99 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the league.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.