My Account Log Out

reorder

Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to run on 44.5% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to accrue 18.7 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Out of all running backs, Christian McCaffrey grades out in the 97th percentile for carries this year, making up 70.5% of the workload in his team's run game.

Christian McCaffrey has grinded out 88.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football among RBs (99th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the 49ers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 49ers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.

Christian McCaffrey's 3.2 adjusted yards per carry this year represents an impressive drop-off in his running prowess over last year's 5.6 rate.

More Christian McCaffrey Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™