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Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-123/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 72.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -123.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the projections to finish in the 96th percentile among RBs with 19.8 carries.Among all RBs, Christian McCaffrey ranks in the 97th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 66.7% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.With an exceptional total of 91.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (100th percentile), Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the best running backs in football since the start of last season.As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Green Bay's LB corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in football. in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brandon Allen this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan.Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to run on 44.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.The projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Christian McCaffrey's ground effectiveness has diminished this year, notching just 3.36 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.64 mark last year.
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