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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to run on 46.6% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • This week, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the projection model to land in the 80th percentile among running backs with 15.9 rush attempts.
  • Christian McCaffrey has picked up 96.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the biggest figures in football among running backs (100th percentile).
  • With an exceptional record of 5.64 adjusted yards per carry (96th percentile), Christian McCaffrey has been as one of the leading pure rushers in the NFL last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to be a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack in this game (54.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (67.0% in games he has played).

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