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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-148/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 76.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ +112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run on 45.3% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect Christian McCaffrey to garner 17.3 carries in this game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Christian McCaffrey has received 67.2% of his team's rush attempts last year, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • With a fantastic rate of 96.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (99th percentile), Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the leading running backs in the NFL last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game.
  • Last year, the deficient Jets run defense has surrendered a monstrous 4.11 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 2nd-biggest rate in the league.
  • The New York defensive tackles grade out as the 10th-best unit in the league last year in regard to defending the run.

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