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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 91.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 91.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 91.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This week, Christian McCaffrey is expected by the projections to finish in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.9 rush attempts.
  • The San Francisco O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 95.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a substantial growth in his rushing talent over last year's 68.0 figure.
  • Christian McCaffrey's running efficiency has been refined this season, compiling 5.51 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 4.76 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.1 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 83.6% snap rate this year indicates a remarkable gain in his offensive utilization over last year's 71.5% figure.

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