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Christian McCaffrey
NFL · Player Props
Christian McCaffrey
RB · San Francisco 49ers
Rushing Yards
Jacksonville Jaguars vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 10, 2023 Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • The 49ers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 45.3% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 17.2 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • In regards to run-blocking (and the impact it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 7th-best in the league last year.
  • Christian McCaffrey has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (90.0) this year than he did last year (68.0).
Favors Under
  • The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
  • Christian McCaffrey's 82.0% snap rate this year indicates a meaningful growth in his offensive usage over last year's 71.5% mark.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 83.0 per game) versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.
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