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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to notch 16.7 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.

Christian McCaffrey has been much more involved in his offense's running game this year (73.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (62.9%).

The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year at opening holes for rushers.

Christian McCaffrey has averaged 62.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (82nd percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to start backup quarterback PJ Walker in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Panthers are a massive 11-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 8th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 39.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.3 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding just 4.23 yards-per-carry.

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