Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 72.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 71.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to total 18.4 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
Christian McCaffrey has averaged 66.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (91st percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Christian McCaffrey has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 71.3% of snaps compared to just 60.0% last season.
Christian McCaffrey has been among the weakest running backs in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging a mere 2.52 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 8th percentile.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends project as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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