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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers

Christian McCaffrey Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+188/-277).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -274 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -277.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.28 seconds per play.

Christian McCaffrey has earned 70.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in run blocking.

Christian McCaffrey has rushed for 0.40 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (86th percentile).

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Panthers are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-least run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 39.9% red zone run rate.

Opposing squads have run for the 7th-least touchdowns in the league (0.60 per game) vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

The Carolina Panthers have gone up against a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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