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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals

Christian McCaffrey Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+114/-153).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -153.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per play.

The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

The Carolina Panthers have gone for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 8th-least run-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 40.0% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to be a much smaller piece of his offense's running game near the end zone this week (51.4% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (62.5% in games he has played).

The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-least TDs in the league (0.65 per game) vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season.

The Arizona Cardinals defensive tackles project as the 7th-best group of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

More Christian McCaffrey Player Props

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