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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the 49ers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

With a sizeable 79.2% Route Participation% (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in football.

This week, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.6 targets.

Christian McCaffrey checks in as one of the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 4.2 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 59.0% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 49ers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

The San Francisco 49ers O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

More Christian McCaffrey Player Props

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