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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is expected by the model to slot into the 96th percentile among RBs with 5.0 targets.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been among the best running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 4.0 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.72 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 29.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 35.1.

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