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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Giants

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+135/-165).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game effectiveness when facing better conditions in this week's contest.

Christian McCaffrey has run a route on 72.3% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile among RBs.

THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to total 6.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among running backs.

Christian McCaffrey has been among the top running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

The New York Giants safeties project as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a giant 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.7 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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