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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With an impressive 79.5% Route% (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey stands among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in football.
  • The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to total 5.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
  • Christian McCaffrey's pass-catching performance improved this year, accumulating 4.2 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 3.1 last year.
  • With a fantastic 85.4% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey has been among the best possession receivers in football among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 10-point advantage, the 49ers are a heavy favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 52.4% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (only 53.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The San Francisco 49ers offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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