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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-180/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to accrue 5.6 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

Christian McCaffrey's receiving skills have improved this year, totaling 4.2 adjusted catches compared to a measly 3.1 last year.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's LB corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 49.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the 49ers to call the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the 49ers this year (a measly 53.1 per game on average).

Christian McCaffrey's 30.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 35.1.

More Christian McCaffrey Player Props

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