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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Christian McCaffrey has gone out for more passes this year (71.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (47.3%).

THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 5.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among running backs.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Completion% in football (84.3%) vs. running backs this year (84.3%).

The Arizona Cardinals defensive tackles grade out as the worst collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a big 14.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Christian McCaffrey's play as a receiver has tailed off this season, compiling just 3.1 yards per game vs 5.3 last season.

Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 92.9% to 84.3%.

The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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