Christian McCaffrey Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

My Account Log Out

reorder

Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Christian McCaffrey has gone out for more passes this year (71.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (47.3%).
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 5.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among running backs.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Completion% in football (84.3%) vs. running backs this year (84.3%).
The Arizona Cardinals defensive tackles grade out as the worst collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a big 14.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Christian McCaffrey's play as a receiver has tailed off this season, compiling just 3.1 yards per game vs 5.3 last season.
Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 92.9% to 84.3%.
The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

More Christian McCaffrey Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow