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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Jets

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Christian McCaffrey has run a route on 80.9% of his offense's passing plays last year, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.

The projections expect Christian McCaffrey to accrue 6.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

Christian McCaffrey has accumulated a monstrous 10.0 air yards per game last year: 100th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Christian McCaffrey checks in as one of the leading pass-catching RBs last year, averaging an impressive 42.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

With an impressive 7.0 adjusted yards per target (91st percentile) last year, Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the best RB receiving threats in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The model projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the New York Jets, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.7 per game) last year.

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