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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-775/+450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +450.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by the predictive model to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 6.0 targets.
  • Christian McCaffrey has compiled a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (37.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).
  • Christian McCaffrey is positioned as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the league among running backs, averaging a stellar 6.93 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 88th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The projections expect the 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the 49ers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Christian McCaffrey's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this season, compiling just 7.51 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 10.21 figure last season.

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