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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
  • In this game, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.5 targets.
  • Christian McCaffrey has accumulated a staggering 5.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Christian McCaffrey's 40.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a material improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 25.0 rate.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 90.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a substantial improvement in his receiving skills over last season's 85.1% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this game, implying much more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.5 plays per game.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point reduction in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Christian McCaffrey has been utilized much less in his offense's pass game.

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