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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback P.J. Walker in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Panthers are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.28 seconds per play.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
  • Christian McCaffrey has posted far fewer air yards this year (1.0 per game) than he did last year (11.0 per game).
  • Christian McCaffrey has compiled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).
  • Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 92.9% to 78.1%.
  • Christian McCaffrey's pass-game efficiency has worsened this year, accumulating a measly 5.35 yards-per-target vs a 8.32 figure last year.

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