Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback P.J. Walker in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Panthers are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.28 seconds per play.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
Christian McCaffrey has posted far fewer air yards this year (1.0 per game) than he did last year (11.0 per game).
Christian McCaffrey has compiled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).
Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 92.9% to 78.1%.
Christian McCaffrey's pass-game efficiency has worsened this year, accumulating a measly 5.35 yards-per-target vs a 8.32 figure last year.

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